Average Monthly Wind Power Forecasting Using Fuzzy Approach
نویسندگان
چکیده
The growth in sustainable generation technology such as fuel cell, wind energy conversion system, photovoltaic increase cost, necessity and the reduction fossil reserve, for better power quality reliability, is obliging sector to use renewable based sources. In India, gradually becoming an important significant resource. Keeping opinion aforementioned prediction essential study harnessing prospective. This paper proposes effective technique on intelligent approach predicting different areas. using model concerning predicted gap its similar one two year old data. There are many conventional models existed literature like support vector machines (SVM), back propagation (BP) etc. this fuzzy logic predictive control have been developed offered microgrid application by air density speed input parameters system. outcomes compared with computed data existing it can be observed that errors found within permissible limits. obtained from very close calculated values if technique. Hence, proposed employed of selected stations. results Kolkata city outcomes. Error RMSE Support machine, Back propagation, Model forecast error correction +SVM +BP, Neural Network method, system 30.48%, 32.83%, 26.81%, 28.58%, 1.1431%, 1.38% 1.12% respectively. Therefore, techniques provide best even these suitable Additionally, achieved used Microgrid/SmartGrid applications.
منابع مشابه
Wind Power Forecasting Using Ensembles
Short-term prediction of wind energy is by now an established field of wind power technology. For the last 15 years, our groups have worked in the field and developed short-term prediction models being used operatively at the major Danish utilities since 1996. The next step in the development of the models is to use ensemble forecasts. The ensembles are produced routinely at US NCEP (National C...
متن کاملWind Power Forecasting Using Dynamic Bayesian Models
Introduction Due to the cleanness and low cost of wind energy, wind farms are designed to produce as much energy as possible. Wind depends on external atmospheric conditions. For energy control centers is difficult to schedule wind power energy due to its intermittency.
متن کاملAverage Hourly Wind Speed Forecasting with ANFIS
Wind energy is increasing its participation as a main source of energy in power grids and electric utility systems around the world. One of the main difficulties of integrating large amounts of wind energy in power grids is the natural intermittency of its generated power [1, 2] due to the energy produced from the wind turbine being dependent on the availability of the wind, which is highly sto...
متن کاملWind Turbine Power Curve Modeling Using Parametric Approach
Abstract: In recent years, due to the limitation of fossil fuels and the environmental Impact of using these fuels, focusing on renewable energy sources has increased significantly. In developed countries, using clean energy such as wind power has been considered as an alternative source. Monitoring the performance of wind turbines and controlling their output power quality is one of the import...
متن کاملA hybrid WFA approach for Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting
Wind generation is hectic by nature, making wind power forecasting highly challenging, particularly for short time frames. Forecasting of wind power is becoming progressively more important to power system operators and electricity market.Wind power is variable and irregular over various timescales as it is weather dependent. Thus precise forecasting of wind power is acknowledged as a major con...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: IEEE Access
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['2169-3536']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2021.3056562